Showing posts with label Dead Cat Bounce. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dead Cat Bounce. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

10/4/2011 Pre-Market Alert

10/4/2011 Pre-Market Alert

Please read below to see our pre-market set ups and picks.

Pantheon Traders incorporates a short term trading strategy we coined the “Controlled Bounce ”. This strategy is implemented by executing trades in stocks that have seen a market anomaly in their share price. We have found that historically a 25-30% next day reversal is more often than not the norm on a stock that has been the recipient of either a positive or negative percentage change of more than 11% intra-day.  In order for this reversal to be further confirmed the stocks volume must exceed 2(x) average trading volume prior to the market close.

The following is the individual issues we have identified for trading on 10/4/2011:

AMR 1.98 4:01PM EDT- 0.98 (33.11%) 76,732,062 Chart, Profile, More

SGMO 3.04 4:00PM EDT- 1.31 (30.11%) 5,959,466 Chart, Profile, More

STP 1.70 4:08PM EDT- 0.61 (26.41%) 5,691,010 Chart, Profile, More
(Volume does not support confirmation of 2(x) ADV)
LNG 4.00 4:03PM EDT- 1.15 (22.33%) 3,685,182 Chart, Profile, More
(Volume does not support confirmation of 2(x) ADV)
USU 1.23 4:02PM EDT- 0.38 (23.60%) 3,328,299 Chart, Profile, More
(Volume does not support confirmation of 2(x) ADV)

Much like Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE:EK): NYSE:AMR Corporation has been the target of a rumored bankruptcy filing which has destroyed their share price.  Unlike NYSE:EK, NYSE:AMR will most certainly seek bankruptcy protection from the courts sooner than later. While we have a negative long term outlook for NYSE:AMR, we must always remember we are short term traders and therefore must focus on short term strategies to profit from. In looking at the 10/3/2011 aftermarket set up, NYSE:AMR appears to be poised for a dead cat bounce at the open of trading on 10/4/2011. The intra-day chart has a stochastic crossover that just formed at 7.69 and intersected above 20.00 from 2:28pm to the close. Monday,  NYSE:AMR traded just under 77 million shares on average trading volume of 12.8 million. In Monday’s aftermarket trading, NYSE:AMR gapped up to $2.14 per share therefore, depending on the pre-market setup Tuesday, we will look for an entry price of $2.05 per share. We will be watching it closely and could be forced to switch sides and quickly reset our strategy to the short side. 

Symbol: AMR    Trade: Long     Entry Price: $2.05    Exit Price: $2.49   Stop Loss: $2.00

Sangamo BioSciences, Inc. (NasdaqGM: SGMO ) took a 30% hit Monday after failing its clinical trial of diabetic neuropathy drug SB-509. While the stock hit a 52 week low in Monday’s session and there has not been a confirming stochastic crossover to even consider a long entry, surprisingly, optionMONSTER's Heat Seeker monitoring system detected unusual call buying in the drug developer.  The November 3 contracts were the busiest strike, with more than 1,000 contracts purchased for $0.90 and $0.95. Volume was 100 times previous open interest. NasdaqGM: SGMO, normally trades and daily average of 635k shares and in Monday’s session it traded 5.9 million shares. We will be looking for a long entry at $3.05 with a short term gap up and a sell target at $3.39. 

Symbol: SGMO   Trade: Long   Entry Price: $3.05   Exit Price: $3.55    Stop Loss: $3.00

10/3/2011 Pre-Market Alert

On Friday, WallStWatchdog.com circulated the following report addressing 10 stocks with the biggest percentage moves for the session.  Pantheon Traders has historically found that a 25-30% reversal is more ofter than not the norm on a stock that has been the recipient of either a positive or negative percentage change of more than 11% intra-day.  This reversal is further confirmed once the stocks volume exceeds 2(x) average trading volume.

From the list below we feel that Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU): Down -14.14% which traded over 63 million shares on Friday and has average daily volume of just under 40 million shares per day is do for a long entry at around $5.01 provided the stochastic set up in the pre-market supports a crossover near 20.00 with an upward sentiment.  If the stock breaks down below $5.00 ten its your call, you can either sit on the sidelines or flip your position to the short side.  The physiological breakdown that occurs once the stock breaks $5.00 could be good for another .30 on the downside. 

Symbol: MU     Trade: Long     Entry Price: $5.01     Exit Price:    $5.32     Stop Loss: $4.99
-or- 
(depending on the pre-market set up) 
Symbol: MU     Trade: Short    Short Price: $4.99    Short Cover: $4.69     Stop Loss: $5.05

Excluded from the list below, we feel that Focus Media Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:FMCN): Down -17.31% which traded over 14 million shares on Friday and has average daily volume of just under 3 million shares per day. FMCN is poised for a long entry around $17.00 based on the set up. The 5 day chart has a stochastic crossover that just formed at 12.08 and intersected above 20.00 into the close. Friday,  FMCN traded up to 16.98 in the aftermarket so depending on the pre-market setup Monday, this will either confirm our $17.00 entry price or force us to quickly reset our price. 

Symbol: FMCN     Trade: Long     Entry Price: $17.00     Exit Price: $18.15     Stop Loss: $16.83


Also excluded from the list below, we feel that Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE:EK): Down -53.84% or .91 on the day to close at .78. While EK traded over 65 million shares on Friday and has average daily volume of just under 16 million shares per day it is set up for a long entry at $1.00. The 5 day chart has a stochastic crossover that just formed at 49.54 and intersected above 20.00 to the close. Friday,  EK traded up to 1.05 in the aftermarket so depending on the pre-market setup Monday, this will either confirm our $1.00 entry price or force us to quickly reset our price. 

Symbol: EK       Trade: Long     Entry Price: $1.00     Exit Price: $1.49     Stop Loss: $.95


Monday, October 3, 2011

10/3/2011 Performance Report

Pantheon Traders Performance Report:

On October 3, 2011 we announced our pre-market picks for the trading session including entry price, exit price and stop loss.  (All trades are based on a $10,000 principal trade that is utilizing 10:1 leverage unless otherwise noted.For example $10,000 in principal at 10:1 leverage equals $100,000.00 in buying power.)


Trade #1
Date:
Symbol:
Trade Type:
Long/Short
*Entry:
*Exit:
Stop Loss:
Percentage
3-Oct-11
Short
$4.99
$4.69
$5.05
6%







Actual Trade







Short
$4.99
$4.35
$5.05
13%

Trade #2
Date:
Symbol:
Trade Type:
Long/Short
*Entry:
*Exit:
Stop Loss:
Percentage
3-Oct-11
Long
$17.00
$18.15
$16.83
7%







Actual Trade







Long
$17.00
$18.35
$16.83
8%

Trade #3
Date:
Symbol:
Trade Type:
Long/Short
*Entry:
*Exit:
Stop Loss:
Percentage
3-Oct-11
Long
$1.00
$1.49
$.95
49%







Actual Trade







Long
$1.00
$1.51
$.95
51%


* Defined as Long Entry and Exit Price or Short Sell and Buy to Cover


IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT


THE FOLLOWING STRATEGY INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK.  CONTINUAL GROWTH AT THESES LEVELS IS NOT ALWAYS POSSIBLE. ALL ENTRY AND EXIT INFORMATION PROVIDED IN OUR PRE-MARKET REPORT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.  PANTHEON TRADING IS NOT A BROKER DEAL, INVESTMENT ADVISER NOR ARE THEY REGISTERED WITH FINRA OR THE SEC. PRIOR TO INVESTING, YOU SHOULD ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVISE OF YOUR INVESTMENT ADVISER. USE OF WWW.PANTHEONTRADERS.COM AND ALL AFFILIATE SITES CONSTITUTES YOUR ACKNOWLEDGEMENT AND AGREEMENT TO HOLD PANTHEON TRADERS, ITS MANAGEMENT, AFFILIATES AND PARTNERS HARMLESS OF ANY AND ALL WRONG DOING, INCLUDED BUT NOT LIMITED LOSSES INCURRED BY IMPLEMENTING TRADING STRATEGIES DERIVED FROM THIS SITE. WE USE HIGH LEVERAGE FORMULAS AT A TYPICAL RATIO OF 10:1.
THE RISK OF PROPRIETARY TRADING OF EQUITIES, COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE ("FOREX") IS SUBSTANTIAL. THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH PROPRIETARY TRADING OF EQUITIES, COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THIS HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN HAVE THE EFFECT OF SUBSTANTIALLY MAGNIFYING POTENTIAL LOSSES AS WELL AS GAINS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX ARE SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. IF YOU ARE UNSURE YOU SHOULD SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. IN SOME CASES MANAGED ACCOUNTS ARE CHARGED SUBSTANTIAL COMMISSIONS AND ADVISORY FEES. THOSE ACCOUNTS SUBJECT TO THESE CHARGES MAY NEED TO MAKE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS JUST TO AVOID DEPLETION OF THEIR ASSETS. THE FULL RISK OF PROPRIETARY TRADING OF EQUITIES, COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX TRADING CAN NOT BE ADDRESSED IN THIS RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT. NO CONSIDERATION TO INVEST SHOULD BE MADE WITHOUT THOROUGHLY READING THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT IN WHICH YOU MAY HAVE AN INTEREST. REQUESTING A DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT PLACES YOU UNDER NO OBLIGATION AND THE DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED AT NO COST. OTHER DISCLOSURE STATEMENTS ARE REQUIRED PRIOR TO YOUR INVESTING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS SHOULD NOT BASE THEIR DECISION TO INVEST IN THESE TRADING PROGRAMS SOLELY ON THE PAST PERFORMANCE PRESENTED. ADDITIONALLY, IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION, PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS MUST ALSO RELY ON THEIR OWN EXAMINATION OF THE PERSON OR ENTITY MAKING THE TRADING DECISIONS AND THE TERMS OF ALL AGREEMENTS INCLUDING THE MERITS AND RISKS INVOLVED.

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Saturday, October 1, 2011

Did We Miss it? Did EK Already Dead Cat Bounce?

 Did We Miss It?

Based on the steady decline represented by EK's annual chart and Friday's panic driven sell-off,  it only makes statistical sense that EK will soon be the proud recipient of a Dead Cat Bounce rebound.  The question is when? 

The massive drop was due to an unsubstantiated bankruptcy rumor that began circulating institutional trade desks around 2pm EST. As you can see by the chart illustration below, at 2:17pm, the stock dropped from $1.68 to a intra-day low of ¢.54 at 2:40pm. Not only was this print a new intra-day low but it also represented a fresh new 52-week low, before settling in around ¢.81 per share.  All of this activity in less than two hours. The only leading indicator seemed to be a stochastic crossover intersecting at 25.00 around 2:16pm before bottoming out to 0 at 2:19pm for approximately 30 minutes.


So did we already miss the long entry? One positive was EK longtraders positioned up with a 30% price retracement in Friday's after market session. Did the Dead Cat Bounce already happen? I don't think so, as there was no pop in the price. For me, the 30% giveback was a nice jester based on the market trying to correct itself but the major indicator is going to be the pre-market on Monday. If EK's pre-market trades show an overall positive sentiment then seeing a large pop at the open is all together a possibility and therefore worth taking a long entry position. 

Read our pre-market report on Monday and see if EK is ripe for a long entry.



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Tuesday, July 5, 2011

10/5/2011 Performance Report

Pantheon Traders Performance Report:

On October 5, 2011 we announced our pre-market picks for the trading session including entry price, exit price and stop loss.  (All trades are based on a $10,000 principal trade that is utilizing 10:1 leverage unless otherwise noted.For example $10,000 in principal at 10:1 leverage equals $100,000.00 in buying power.)


Trade #1
Date:
Symbol:
Trade Type:
Long/Short
*Entry:
*Exit:
Stop Loss:
Percentage
5-Oct-11
Long
$1.10
$1.52
$1.00
38%







Actual Trade







Long
$1.19
$1.33
$1.00
12%

Trade #2
Date:
Symbol:
Trade Type:
Long/Short
*Entry:
*Exit:
Stop Loss:
Percentage
5-Oct-11
Long
$11.50
$12.15
$11.40
6%







Actual Trade







Long
$11.25
$12.40
$11.40
10%

Trade #3
Date:
Symbol:
Trade Type:
Long/Short
*Entry:
*Exit:
Stop Loss:
Percentage
5-Oct-11
Long
$3.00
$3.38
$3.00
13%







Actual Trade







Long
$3.0
$3.30
$3.00
10%


* Defined as Long Entry and Exit Price or Short Sell and Buy to Cover


IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT


THE FOLLOWING STRATEGY INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK.  CONTINUAL GROWTH AT THESES LEVELS IS NOT ALWAYS POSSIBLE. ALL ENTRY AND EXIT INFORMATION PROVIDED IN OUR PRE-MARKET REPORT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.  PANTHEON TRADING IS NOT A BROKER DEAL, INVESTMENT ADVISER NOR ARE THEY REGISTERED WITH FINRA OR THE SEC. PRIOR TO INVESTING, YOU SHOULD ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVISE OF YOUR INVESTMENT ADVISER. USE OF WWW.PANTHEONTRADERS.COM AND ALL AFFILIATE SITES CONSTITUTES YOUR ACKNOWLEDGEMENT AND AGREEMENT TO HOLD PANTHEON TRADERS, ITS MANAGEMENT, AFFILIATES AND PARTNERS HARMLESS OF ANY AND ALL WRONG DOING, INCLUDED BUT NOT LIMITED LOSSES INCURRED BY IMPLEMENTING TRADING STRATEGIES DERIVED FROM THIS SITE. WE USE HIGH LEVERAGE FORMULAS AT A TYPICAL RATIO OF 10:1.
THE RISK OF PROPRIETARY TRADING OF EQUITIES, COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE ("FOREX") IS SUBSTANTIAL. THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH PROPRIETARY TRADING OF EQUITIES, COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THIS HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN HAVE THE EFFECT OF SUBSTANTIALLY MAGNIFYING POTENTIAL LOSSES AS WELL AS GAINS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX ARE SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. IF YOU ARE UNSURE YOU SHOULD SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. IN SOME CASES MANAGED ACCOUNTS ARE CHARGED SUBSTANTIAL COMMISSIONS AND ADVISORY FEES. THOSE ACCOUNTS SUBJECT TO THESE CHARGES MAY NEED TO MAKE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS JUST TO AVOID DEPLETION OF THEIR ASSETS. THE FULL RISK OF PROPRIETARY TRADING OF EQUITIES, COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX TRADING CAN NOT BE ADDRESSED IN THIS RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT. NO CONSIDERATION TO INVEST SHOULD BE MADE WITHOUT THOROUGHLY READING THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT IN WHICH YOU MAY HAVE AN INTEREST. REQUESTING A DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT PLACES YOU UNDER NO OBLIGATION AND THE DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED AT NO COST. OTHER DISCLOSURE STATEMENTS ARE REQUIRED PRIOR TO YOUR INVESTING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS SHOULD NOT BASE THEIR DECISION TO INVEST IN THESE TRADING PROGRAMS SOLELY ON THE PAST PERFORMANCE PRESENTED. ADDITIONALLY, IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION, PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS MUST ALSO RELY ON THEIR OWN EXAMINATION OF THE PERSON OR ENTITY MAKING THE TRADING DECISIONS AND THE TERMS OF ALL AGREEMENTS INCLUDING THE MERITS AND RISKS INVOLVED.

Back To Pantheon Traders